Radar PereneRadar Perene

Brazil market regime

Edition no. 4,174 · November 14, 2016 · reconstructed essentials · 2 min read

◦ Written under index methodology v1 (in effect until 15 Jul 2026). The current series is v2 — readings quoted here may differ from those shown today. See the methodology.

The Perene Index gave back ground and closed at 6. The market still trades on a neutral mood.

The Pulse
Perene Risk Indexthe market’s structural state6/100Today ▲ +6
Ânima · structuralthe market’s prevailing risk appetite47/100Today ▲ +1
how to read?
The other times split evenly.
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The Archive Remembers ◎

Other times the archive saw the market in a state like today’s — what came next.

  1. ●A year agoAugust 31, 2015
    Ibovespa that day46,626 pts
    the archive suggested-7% in 6m hist. median
    what happened in 6 months48,665 pts (+4%)
    Reread the edition of August 31, 2015 →
  2. ○Five years agoJuly 2011
    Ibovespa 58,536 → 64,593 pts (+10% in 6m) · reread →
  3. ○First time in the archiveSeptember 2000
    Ibovespa 15,559 → 14,719 pts (-5% in 6m) · reread →

In 41 times the archive saw the market in a state like today’s since 2000, the Ibovespa was higher six months later 51% of the time — median +0.5% — not always upward. Explore the archive →

Gravitational neighbors — days that behave like this one, from any era
Editions in a similar state

Other editions the archive read in a market state close to today’s — same neighbourhood of the Perene Risk Index.

  1. September 30, 2020Perene 6 · risk-on
  2. April 30, 2010Perene 6 · broad risk-on
  3. February 28, 2018Perene 5 · risk-on
  4. April 30, 2024Perene 7 · neutral
  5. March 31, 2005Perene 5
  6. November 30, 2000Perene 7
Today’s Read

Observed distribution, not a forecast.

  • Ibovespa: 59,657 pts
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For the Next Edition

The next reading arrives on the next business day — the regime is monthly, and the daily pulse carries the change until month-end.

Concepts: Brazil Regime · Intermarket BR · Historical Analogs · How to read: six steps · Methodology · Research & Laboratory ·Track record · See every extreme like this one in the Observatory →

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