Radar PereneRadar Perene

Brazil market regime

Edition no. 4,201 · December 22, 2016 · reconstructed essentials · 2 min read

◦ Written under index methodology v1 (in effect until 15 Jul 2026). The current series is v2 — readings quoted here may differ from those shown today. See the methodology.

The market's mood worsened. Today, the Perene Index closed at 11.

The Pulse
Perene Risk Indexthe market’s structural state11/100Today → 0
Ânima · structuralthe market’s prevailing risk appetite34/100Today ▾ -12
how to read?
The other times split evenly.
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The Archive Remembers ◎

Other times the archive saw the market in a state like today’s — what came next.

  1. ●Five years agoJuly 31, 2011
    Ibovespa that day58,536 pts
    the archive suggested+0% in 6m hist. median
    what happened in 6 months64,593 pts (+10%)
    Reread the edition of July 31, 2011 →
  2. ○First time in the archiveSeptember 2000
    Ibovespa 15,559 → 14,719 pts (-5% in 6m) · reread →

In 44 times the archive saw the market in a state like today’s since 2000, the Ibovespa was higher six months later 55% of the time — median +1.1% — not always upward. Explore the archive →

Gravitational neighbors — days that behave like this one, from any era
Editions in a similar state

Other editions the archive read in a market state close to today’s — same neighbourhood of the Perene Risk Index.

  1. October 31, 2019Perene 11 · risk-on
  2. May 31, 2006Perene 11
  3. March 31, 2020Perene 11 · risk-on
  4. November 30, 2017Perene 11 · risk-on
  5. September 30, 2009Perene 10
  6. November 30, 2021Perene 9 · defensive
Today’s Read

Observed distribution, not a forecast.

  • Ibovespa: 57,255 pts
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For the Next Edition

The next reading arrives on the next business day — the regime is monthly, and the daily pulse carries the change until month-end.

Concepts: Brazil Regime · Intermarket BR · Historical Analogs · How to read: six steps · Methodology · Research & Laboratory ·Track record · Browse the archive by phenomenon in the Observatory →

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