Radar PereneRadar Perene

Brazil market regime

Edition no. 4,300 · May 19, 2017 · reconstructed essentials · 2 min read

◦ Written under index methodology v1 (in effect until 15 Jul 2026). The current series is v2 — readings quoted here may differ from those shown today. See the methodology.

The risk reading moved to a different level. The index reads 26 — defensive territory.

The Pulse
Perene Risk Indexthe market’s structural state27/100Today ▲ +27
Ânima · structuralthe market’s prevailing risk appetite38/100Today ▲ +7
how to read?
Risk below the territory's midline.
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The Archive Remembers ◎

Other times the archive saw the market in a state like today’s — what came next.

  1. ●Five years agoMay 31, 2012
    Ibovespa that day54,490 pts
    the archive suggested-1% in 6m hist. median
    what happened in 6 months57,563 pts (+6%)
    Reread the edition of May 31, 2012 →
  2. ○First time in the archiveJanuary 2000
    Ibovespa 16,388 → 16,290 pts (-1% in 6m) · reread →

In 42 times the archive saw the market in a state like today’s since 2000, the Ibovespa was higher six months later 52% of the time — median +0% — not always upward. Explore the archive →

Gravitational neighbors — days that behave like this one, from any era
Editions in a similar state

Other editions the archive read in a market state close to today’s — same neighbourhood of the Perene Risk Index.

  1. September 30, 2024Perene 27 · defensive
  2. January 31, 2013Perene 27 · risk-on
  3. June 30, 2005Perene 28
  4. June 30, 2003Perene 28
  5. February 28, 2021Perene 28 · risk-on
  6. February 28, 2023Perene 28 · defensive
Today’s Read

Observed distribution, not a forecast.

  • Ibovespa: 62,639 pts
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For the Next Edition

The next reading arrives on the next business day — the regime is monthly, and the daily pulse carries the change until month-end.

Concepts: Brazil Regime · Intermarket BR · Historical Analogs · How to read: six steps · Methodology · Research & Laboratory ·Track record · Browse the archive by phenomenon in the Observatory →

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