Brazil market regime
Edition no. 369 · April 4, 2018 · reconstructed essentials
The mood worsened for the third straight session. The day's reading came in at 0.
Other times the archive saw the market in a state like today’s — what came next.
- ●A year agoMay 31, 2017Ibovespa that day62,711 ptsthe archive suggested+12% in 6m hist. medianwhat happened in 6 months72,264 pts (+15%)Reread the edition of May 31, 2017 →
- ○Five years agoMay 2013Ibovespa 53,506 → 51,847 pts (-3% in 6m) · reread →
- ○First time in the archiveSeptember 2000Ibovespa 15,559 → 14,719 pts (-5% in 6m) · reread →
In 42 times the archive saw the market in a state like today’s since 2000, the Ibovespa was higher six months later 55% of the time — median +2.7% — not always upward. Explore the archive →
Other editions the archive read in a market state close to today’s — same neighbourhood of the Perene Risk Index.
Observed distribution, not a forecast.
- Ibovespa: 84,360 pts
The next reading arrives on the next business day — the regime is monthly, and the daily pulse carries the change until month-end.
Concepts: Brazil Regime · Intermarket BR · Historical Analogs · How to read: six steps · Methodology · Track record · From the archive: essays & precedents · See every extreme like this one in the Atlas →
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