Radar PereneRadar Perene

Brazil's market is in a neutral regime.

Edition no. 4,620 · August 31, 2018 · Regime neutro · reconstructed essentials

◦ Written under index methodology v1 (in effect until 15 Jul 2026). The current series is v2 — readings quoted here may differ from those shown today. See the methodology.

The risk picture shifted over the session. The index reads 31 — neutral territory.

The Pulse
Perene Risk Indexthe market’s structural state40/100Today ▾ -60
Ânima · structuralthe market’s prevailing risk appetite12/100Today ▾ -28
how to read?
The market on the neutral plain.
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The Archive Remembers ◎

Other times the archive saw the market in a state like today’s — what came next.

  1. ●A year agoJune 30, 2017
    Ibovespa that day62,900 pts
    what happened in 6 months77,995 pts (+24%)
    Reread the edition of June 30, 2017 →
  2. ○Five years agoJune 2013
    Ibovespa 47,230 → 50,341 pts (+7% in 6m) · reread →
  3. ○First time in the archiveJanuary 2000
    Ibovespa 16,388 → 16,290 pts (-1% in 6m) · reread →

In 52 times the archive saw the market in a state like today’s since 2000, the Ibovespa was higher six months later 69% of the time — median +6% — not always upward. Explore the archive →

Editions in a similar state

Other editions the archive read in a market state close to today’s — same neighbourhood of the Perene Risk Index.

  1. November 30, 2010Perene 40 · risk-on
  2. May 31, 2005Perene 40
  3. January 31, 2005Perene 40
  4. October 31, 2012Perene 39 · risk-on
  5. December 31, 2016Perene 39 · defensive
  6. April 30, 2022Perene 39 · defensive
Today’s Read

The global backdrop is neutral and the intermarket moderate risk-on.

Observed distribution, not a forecast.

  • Ibovespa: 76,678 pts
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For the Next Edition

The next reading arrives on the next business day — the regime is monthly, and the daily pulse carries the change until month-end.

Edition no. 4,620 · Regime neutro · Radar Perene

Concepts: Brazil Regime · Intermarket BR · Historical Analogs · How to read: six steps · Methodology · Track record · From the archive: essays & precedents · Browse the archive by phenomenon in the Atlas →

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