Radar PereneRadar Perene

Brazil's market is in a risk-on regime.

Edition no. 2,701 · November 30, 2010 · Regime risk_on · reconstructed essentials

◦ Written under index methodology v1 (in effect until 15 Jul 2026). The current series is v2 — readings quoted here may differ from those shown today. See the methodology.

The market returned to an extreme, now neutral territory. The day closes at 40, neutral territory.

The Pulse
Perene Risk Indexthe market’s structural state40/100
how to read?
Risk below the territory's midline.
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The Archive Remembers ◎

Other times the archive saw the market in a state like today’s — what came next.

  1. ●A year agoOctober 31, 2009
    Ibovespa that day62,643 pts
    what happened in 6 months65,224 pts (+4%)
    Reread the edition of October 31, 2009 →
  2. ○Five years agoApril 2006
    Ibovespa 41,017 → 38,900 pts (-5% in 6m) · reread →
  3. ○First time in the archiveJanuary 2000
    Ibovespa 16,388 → 16,290 pts (-1% in 6m) · reread →

In 28 times the archive saw the market in a state like today’s since 2000, the Ibovespa was higher six months later 64% of the time — median +2.4% — not always upward. Explore the archive →

Editions in a similar state

Other editions the archive read in a market state close to today’s — same neighbourhood of the Perene Risk Index.

  1. August 31, 2018Perene 40 · neutral
  2. May 31, 2005Perene 40
  3. January 31, 2005Perene 40
  4. October 31, 2012Perene 39 · risk-on
  5. December 31, 2016Perene 39 · defensive
  6. April 30, 2022Perene 39 · defensive
Today’s Read

The global backdrop is neutral and the intermarket strong risk-on.

Observed distribution, not a forecast.

  • Ibovespa: 67,705 pts
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For the Next Edition

The next reading arrives on the next business day — the regime is monthly, and the daily pulse carries the change until month-end.

Edition no. 2,701 · Regime risk_on · Radar Perene

Concepts: Brazil Regime · Intermarket BR · Historical Analogs · How to read: six steps · Methodology · Track record · From the archive: essays & precedents · Every risk-on stretch in the Atlas →

all editions · Atlas