Radar PereneRadar Perene

Brazil market regime

Edition no. 4,679 · November 29, 2018 · reconstructed essentials · 2 min read

◦ Written under index methodology v1 (in effect until 15 Jul 2026). The current series is v2 — readings quoted here may differ from those shown today. See the methodology.

The day brought movement where continuity had prevailed. The index reads 84 — risk-on.

The Pulse
Perene Risk Indexthe market’s structural state84/100Today ▾ -16
Ânima · structuralthe market’s prevailing risk appetite63/100Today ▲ +5
how to read?
Risk above the territory's midline.
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The Archive Remembers ◎

Other times the archive saw the market in a state like today’s — what came next.

  1. ●A year agoAugust 31, 2017
    Ibovespa that day70,835 pts
    the archive suggested+7% in 6m hist. median
    what happened in 6 months86,371 pts (+22%)
    Reread the edition of August 31, 2017 →
  2. ○Five years agoOctober 2013
    Ibovespa 54,256 → 54,053 pts (+0% in 6m) · reread →
  3. ○First time in the archiveMay 2000
    Ibovespa 14,957 → 13,287 pts (-11% in 6m) · reread →

In 40 times the archive saw the market in a state like today’s since 2000, the Ibovespa was higher six months later 60% of the time — median +5.3% — not always upward. Explore the archive →

Gravitational neighbors — days that behave like this one, from any era
Editions in a similar state

Other editions the archive read in a market state close to today’s — same neighbourhood of the Perene Risk Index.

  1. October 31, 2013Perene 84 · risk-on
  2. November 30, 2003Perene 84
  3. May 31, 2023Perene 84 · defensive
  4. May 31, 2000Perene 85
  5. January 31, 2017Perene 83 · neutral
  6. July 31, 2023Perene 85 · neutral
Today’s Read

Observed distribution, not a forecast.

  • Ibovespa: 89,710 pts
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For the Next Edition

The next reading arrives on the next business day — the regime is monthly, and the daily pulse carries the change until month-end.

Concepts: Brazil Regime · Intermarket BR · Historical Analogs · How to read: six steps · Methodology · Research & Laboratory ·Track record · Browse the archive by phenomenon in the Observatory →

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