Brazil market regime

Edition no. 5,343 · August 9, 2021 · reconstructed essentials · 2 min read

◦ Written under index methodology v1 (in effect until 15 Jul 2026). The current series is v2 — readings quoted here may differ from those shown today. See the methodology.

No relevant move marked the session.

The Pulse

Perene Risk Indexthe market’s structural state17/100Today ▲ +3

Ânima · structuralthe market’s prevailing risk appetite71/100Today ▾ -3

how to read?

The Archive Remembers ◎

Other times the archive saw the market in a state like today’s — what came next.

●A year agoApril 30, 2020
Ibovespa that day80,506 pts
the archive suggested+17% in 6m hist. median
what happened in 6 months96,582 pts (+20%)
Reread the edition of April 30, 2020 →
○Five years agoNovember 2016
Ibovespa 61,906 → 62,450 pts (+1% in 6m) · reread →
○First time in the archiveSeptember 2000
Ibovespa 15,559 → 14,719 pts (-5% in 6m) · reread →

In 58 times the archive saw the market in a state like today’s since 2000, the Ibovespa was higher six months later 57% of the time — median +2.6% — not always upward. Explore the archive →

Gravitational neighbors — days that behave like this one, from any era

Editions in a similar state

Other editions the archive read in a market state close to today’s — same neighbourhood of the Perene Risk Index.

Today’s Read

Observed distribution, not a forecast.

Ibovespa: 123,019 pts

For the Next Edition

The next reading arrives on the next business day — the regime is monthly, and the daily pulse carries the change until month-end.

Concepts: Brazil Regime · Intermarket BR · Historical Analogs · How to read: six steps · Methodology · Research & Laboratory ·Track record · Browse the archive by phenomenon in the Observatory →

← previous edition · 2021-08-06all editions · Observatory2021-08-10 · next edition →