Brazil market regime

Edition no. 5,493 · March 17, 2022 · reconstructed essentials · 2 min read

◦ Written under index methodology v1 (in effect until 15 Jul 2026). The current series is v2 — readings quoted here may differ from those shown today. See the methodology.

The Perene Index closed at 79.

The Pulse

Perene Risk Indexthe market’s structural state79/100Today ▲ +28

Ânima · structuralthe market’s prevailing risk appetite43/100Today ▾ -9

how to read?

The Archive Remembers ◎

Other times the archive saw the market in a state like today’s — what came next.

●Five years agoFebruary 28, 2017
Ibovespa that day66,989 pts
what happened in 6 months70,886 pts (+6%)
Reread the edition of February 28, 2017 →
○First time in the archiveMay 2000
Ibovespa 14,957 → 13,287 pts (-11% in 6m) · reread →

In 48 times the archive saw the market in a state like today’s since 2000, the Ibovespa was higher six months later 63% of the time — median +3.8% — not always upward. Explore the archive →

Gravitational neighbors — days that behave like this one, from any era

Editions in a similar state

Other editions the archive read in a market state close to today’s — same neighbourhood of the Perene Risk Index.

Today’s Read

Observed distribution, not a forecast.

Ibovespa: 113,076 pts

For the Next Edition

The next reading arrives on the next business day — the regime is monthly, and the daily pulse carries the change until month-end.

Concepts: Brazil Regime · Intermarket BR · Historical Analogs · How to read: six steps · Methodology · Research & Laboratory ·Track record · Browse the archive by phenomenon in the Observatory →

← previous edition · 2022-02-28all editions · Observatory2022-03-18 · next edition →