Brazil market regime

Other times the archive saw the market in a state like today’s — what came next.

1. ●A year agoOctober 31, 2023
   Ibovespa that day113,144 pts
   the archive suggested+6% in 6m hist. median
   what happened in 6 months129,210 pts (+14%)
   Reread the edition of October 31, 2023 →
2. ○Five years agoFebruary 2020
   Ibovespa 106,625 → 99,369 pts (-7% in 6m) · reread →
3. ○First time in the archiveSeptember 2000
   Ibovespa 15,559 → 14,719 pts (-5% in 6m) · reread →

In 58 times the archive saw the market in a state like today’s since 2000, the Ibovespa was higher six months later 60% of the time — median +4.2% — not always upward. Explore the archive →