Radar PereneRadar Perene

Brazil's market is in a neutral regime.

Edition of February 28, 2015 · Regime neutro · reconstructed essentials · 2 min read

◦ Written under index methodology v1 (in effect until 15 Jul 2026). The current series is v2 — readings quoted here may differ from those shown today. See the methodology.

The market repeated the previous day's reading.

The Pulse
Perene Risk Indexthe market’s structural state62/100Today ▾ -25
how to read?
The other times split evenly.
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The Archive Remembers ◎

Other times the archive saw the market in a state like today’s — what came next.

  1. ●A year agoJune 30, 2014
    Ibovespa that day53,168 pts
    what happened in 6 months50,594 pts (-5%)
    Reread the edition of June 30, 2014 →
  2. ○Five years agoJune 2010
    Ibovespa 60,936 → 69,962 pts (+15% in 6m) · reread →
  3. ○First time in the archiveApril 2000
    Ibovespa 15,524 → 14,891 pts (-4% in 6m) · reread →

In 32 times the archive saw the market in a state like today’s since 2000, the Ibovespa was higher six months later 59% of the time — median +3.3% — not always upward. Explore the archive →

Gravitational neighbors — days that behave like this one, from any era
Editions in a similar state

Other editions the archive read in a market state close to today’s — same neighbourhood of the Perene Risk Index.

  1. October 31, 2004Perene 62
  2. August 31, 2013Perene 62 · risk-on
  3. May 31, 2007Perene 62
  4. September 30, 2006Perene 62
  5. July 31, 2013Perene 62 · risk-on
  6. September 30, 2010Perene 62 · risk-on
Today’s Read

The global backdrop is moderate risk-off and the intermarket neutral.

Observed distribution, not a forecast.

  • Ibovespa: 51,583 pts
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For the Next Edition

The next reading arrives on the next business day — the regime is monthly, and the daily pulse carries the change until month-end.

Regime neutro · Radar Perene

Concepts: Brazil Regime · Intermarket BR · Historical Analogs · How to read: six steps · Methodology · Research & Laboratory ·Track record · Browse the archive by phenomenon in the Observatory →

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