Radar PereneRadar Perene

Brazil market regime

Edition no. 1,894 · August 21, 2007 · reconstructed essentials

◦ Written under index methodology v1 (in effect until 15 Jul 2026). The current series is v2 — readings quoted here may differ from those shown today. See the methodology.

Another day of pressure. The market ended with a Perene Index of 10.

The Pulse
Perene Risk Indexthe market’s structural state11/100Today ▲ +4
how to read?
History favored gains — without unanimity.
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The Archive Remembers ◎

Other times the archive saw the market in a state like today’s — what came next.

  1. ●A year agoMay 31, 2006
    Ibovespa that day36,530 pts
    what happened in 6 months41,327 pts (+13%)
    Reread the edition of May 31, 2006 →
  2. ○Five years agoOctober 2003
    Ibovespa 17,982 → 19,190 pts (+7% in 6m) · reread →
  3. ○First time in the archiveSeptember 2000
    Ibovespa 15,559 → 14,719 pts (-5% in 6m) · reread →

In 19 times the archive saw the market in a state like today’s since 2000, the Ibovespa was higher six months later 63% of the time — median +4.4% — not always upward. Explore the archive →

Editions in a similar state

Other editions the archive read in a market state close to today’s — same neighbourhood of the Perene Risk Index.

  1. October 31, 2019Perene 11 · risk-on
  2. May 31, 2006Perene 11
  3. March 31, 2020Perene 11 · risk-on
  4. November 30, 2017Perene 11 · risk-on
  5. September 30, 2009Perene 10
  6. November 30, 2021Perene 9 · defensive
Today’s Read

Observed distribution, not a forecast.

  • Ibovespa: 49,815 pts
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For the Next Edition

The next reading arrives on the next business day — the regime is monthly, and the daily pulse carries the change until month-end.

Concepts: Brazil Regime · Intermarket BR · Historical Analogs · How to read: six steps · Methodology · Track record · From the archive: essays & precedents · Browse the archive by phenomenon in the Atlas →

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