Radar PereneRadar Perene

Brazil market regime

Edition no. 2,455 · November 30, 2009 · reconstructed essentials · 2 min read

◦ Written under index methodology v1 (in effect until 15 Jul 2026). The current series is v2 — readings quoted here may differ from those shown today. See the methodology.

Continuity prevailed.

The Pulse
Perene Risk Indexthe market’s structural state24/100
how to read?
Risk below the territory's midline.
Advertisement
The Archive Remembers ◎

Other times the archive saw the market in a state like today’s — what came next.

  1. ●A year agoJune 30, 2008
    Ibovespa that day65,018 pts
    what happened in 6 months37,060 pts (-43%)
    Reread the edition of June 30, 2008 →
  2. ○Five years agoApril 2005
    Ibovespa 24,705 → 29,318 pts (+19% in 6m) · reread →
  3. ○First time in the archiveJanuary 2000
    Ibovespa 16,388 → 16,290 pts (-1% in 6m) · reread →

In 24 times the archive saw the market in a state like today’s since 2000, the Ibovespa was higher six months later 67% of the time — median +13.8% — not always upward. Explore the archive →

Gravitational neighbors — days that behave like this one, from any era
Editions in a similar state

Other editions the archive read in a market state close to today’s — same neighbourhood of the Perene Risk Index.

  1. January 31, 2014Perene 24 · neutral
  2. April 30, 2020Perene 24 · risk-on
  3. July 31, 2014Perene 24 · defensive
  4. September 30, 2003Perene 25
  5. December 31, 2007Perene 23
  6. September 30, 2001Perene 23
Today’s Read

Observed distribution, not a forecast.

  • Ibovespa: 67,044 pts
Advertisement
For the Next Edition

The next reading arrives on the next business day — the regime is monthly, and the daily pulse carries the change until month-end.

Concepts: Brazil Regime · Intermarket BR · Historical Analogs · How to read: six steps · Methodology · Research & Laboratory ·Track record · Browse the archive by phenomenon in the Observatory →

all editions · Observatory