Radar PereneRadar Perene

Brazil market regime

Edition of December 31, 2007 · reconstructed essentials

◦ Written under index methodology v1 (in effect until 15 Jul 2026). The current series is v2 — readings quoted here may differ from those shown today. See the methodology.

The Perene Index closed at 21. As for composition, utilities lost relative ground.

The Pulse
Perene Risk Indexthe market’s structural state23/100
how to read?
Risk below the territory's midline.
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The Archive Remembers ◎

Other times the archive saw the market in a state like today’s — what came next.

  1. ●Five years agoJuly 31, 2002
    Ibovespa that day9,763 pts
    what happened in 6 months10,751 pts (+10%)
    Reread the edition of July 31, 2002 →
  2. ○First time in the archiveMarch 2001
    Ibovespa 13,981 → 10,233 pts (-27% in 6m) · reread →

In 24 times the archive saw the market in a state like today’s since 2000, the Ibovespa was higher six months later 63% of the time — median +8% — not always upward. Explore the archive →

Editions in a similar state

Other editions the archive read in a market state close to today’s — same neighbourhood of the Perene Risk Index.

  1. September 30, 2001Perene 23
  2. November 30, 2024Perene 23 · defensive
  3. July 31, 2014Perene 24 · defensive
  4. November 30, 2009Perene 24
  5. January 31, 2014Perene 24 · neutral
  6. August 31, 2021Perene 22 · risk-on
Today’s Read

Observed distribution, not a forecast.

  • Ibovespa: 63,886 pts
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For the Next Edition

The next reading arrives on the next business day — the regime is monthly, and the daily pulse carries the change until month-end.

Concepts: Brazil Regime · Intermarket BR · Historical Analogs · How to read: six steps · Methodology · Track record · From the archive: essays & precedents · Browse the archive by phenomenon in the Atlas →

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