Radar PereneRadar Perene

Brazil's market is in a neutral regime.

Edition no. 3,485 · January 31, 2014 · Regime neutro · reconstructed essentials · 2 min read

◦ Written under index methodology v1 (in effect until 15 Jul 2026). The current series is v2 — readings quoted here may differ from those shown today. See the methodology.

The risk reading moved to a different level. The Perene Index marked 23 at the close.

The Pulse
Perene Risk Indexthe market’s structural state24/100
how to read?
The other times split evenly.
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The Archive Remembers ◎

Other times the archive saw the market in a state like today’s — what came next.

  1. ●A year agoJanuary 31, 2013
    Ibovespa that day59,761 pts
    the archive suggested+6% in 6m hist. median
    what happened in 6 months48,436 pts (-19%)
    Reread the edition of January 31, 2013 →
  2. ○Five years agoJune 2008
    Ibovespa 65,018 → 37,060 pts (-43% in 6m) · reread →
  3. ○First time in the archiveJanuary 2000
    Ibovespa 16,388 → 16,290 pts (-1% in 6m) · reread →

In 33 times the archive saw the market in a state like today’s since 2000, the Ibovespa was higher six months later 52% of the time — median +0.5% — not always upward. Explore the archive →

Gravitational neighbors — days that behave like this one, from any era
Editions in a similar state

Other editions the archive read in a market state close to today’s — same neighbourhood of the Perene Risk Index.

  1. November 30, 2009Perene 24
  2. April 30, 2020Perene 24 · risk-on
  3. July 31, 2014Perene 24 · defensive
  4. September 30, 2003Perene 25
  5. December 31, 2007Perene 23
  6. September 30, 2001Perene 23
Today’s Read

The global backdrop is neutral and the intermarket neutral.

Observed distribution, not a forecast.

  • Ibovespa: 47,639 pts
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For the Next Edition

The next reading arrives on the next business day — the regime is monthly, and the daily pulse carries the change until month-end.

Edition no. 3,485 · Regime neutro · Radar Perene

Concepts: Brazil Regime · Intermarket BR · Historical Analogs · How to read: six steps · Methodology · Research & Laboratory ·Track record · Browse the archive by phenomenon in the Observatory →

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