Radar PereneRadar Perene

Brazil market regime

Edition no. 928 · September 30, 2003 · reconstructed essentials · 2 min read

◦ Written under index methodology v1 (in effect until 15 Jul 2026). The current series is v2 — readings quoted here may differ from those shown today. See the methodology.

Utilities lost relative ground. The Perene Index stopped at 24.

The Pulse
Perene Risk Indexthe market’s structural state25/100
how to read?
Risk below the territory's midline.
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The Archive Remembers ◎

Other times the archive saw the market in a state like today’s — what came next.

  1. ●A year agoJuly 31, 2002
    Ibovespa that day9,763 pts
    what happened in 6 months10,751 pts (+10%)
    Reread the edition of July 31, 2002 →
  2. ○Five years agoJanuary 2000
    Ibovespa 16,388 → 16,290 pts (-1% in 6m) · reread →

In 9 times the archive saw the market in a state like today’s since 2000, the Ibovespa was higher six months later 44% of the time — median -2.3% — not always upward. Explore the archive →

Gravitational neighbors — days that behave like this one, from any era
Editions in a similar state

Other editions the archive read in a market state close to today’s — same neighbourhood of the Perene Risk Index.

  1. March 31, 2019Perene 26 · neutral
  2. April 30, 2020Perene 24 · risk-on
  3. November 30, 2022Perene 26 · defensive
  4. January 31, 2014Perene 24 · neutral
  5. November 30, 2009Perene 24
  6. July 31, 2014Perene 24 · defensive
Today’s Read

Observed distribution, not a forecast.

  • Ibovespa: 16,011 pts
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For the Next Edition

The next reading arrives on the next business day — the regime is monthly, and the daily pulse carries the change until month-end.

Concepts: Brazil Regime · Intermarket BR · Historical Analogs · How to read: six steps · Methodology · Research & Laboratory ·Track record · Browse the archive by phenomenon in the Observatory →

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