Radar PereneRadar Perene

Brazil's market is in a defensive regime.

Edition no. 3,606 · July 31, 2014 · Regime defensivo · for 31 days · reconstructed essentials · 2 min read

◦ Written under index methodology v1 (in effect until 15 Jul 2026). The current series is v2 — readings quoted here may differ from those shown today. See the methodology.

After several flat days, the day registered movement. The session ended with the Perene at 18. Across asset classes, utilities lost relative ground.

The Pulse
Perene Risk Indexthe market’s structural state24/100Today ▾ -39
how to read?
The other times split evenly.
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The Archive Remembers ◎

Other times the archive saw the market in a state like today’s — what came next.

  1. ●Five years agoAugust 31, 2009
    Ibovespa that day56,489 pts
    what happened in 6 months69,979 pts (+24%)
    Reread the edition of August 31, 2009 →
  2. ○First time in the archiveJanuary 2000
    Ibovespa 16,388 → 16,290 pts (-1% in 6m) · reread →

In 31 times the archive saw the market in a state like today’s since 2000, the Ibovespa was higher six months later 52% of the time — median +0.2% — not always upward. Explore the archive →

Gravitational neighbors — days that behave like this one, from any era
Editions in a similar state

Other editions the archive read in a market state close to today’s — same neighbourhood of the Perene Risk Index.

  1. January 31, 2014Perene 24 · neutral
  2. November 30, 2009Perene 24
  3. April 30, 2020Perene 24 · risk-on
  4. September 30, 2003Perene 25
  5. December 31, 2007Perene 23
  6. September 30, 2001Perene 23
Today’s Read

The global backdrop is moderate risk-off and the intermarket moderate risk-on.

Observed distribution, not a forecast.

  • Ibovespa: 55,829 pts
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For the Next Edition

The next reading arrives on the next business day — the regime is monthly, and the daily pulse carries the change until month-end.

Edition no. 3,606 · Regime defensivo · for 31 days · Radar Perene

Concepts: Brazil Regime · Intermarket BR · Historical Analogs · How to read: six steps · Methodology · Research & Laboratory ·Track record · Every defensive stretch in the Observatory →

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