Radar PereneRadar Perene

Brazil market regime

Edition no. 3,395 · September 19, 2013 · reconstructed essentials · 2 min read

◦ Written under index methodology v1 (in effect until 15 Jul 2026). The current series is v2 — readings quoted here may differ from those shown today. See the methodology.

A lighter day on the reading. The day's reading came in at 92.

The Pulse
Perene Risk Indexthe market’s structural state92/100Today ▾ -8
how to read?
The other times split evenly.
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The Archive Remembers ◎

Other times the archive saw the market in a state like today’s — what came next.

  1. ●Five years agoOctober 31, 2008
    Ibovespa that day37,257 pts
    what happened in 6 months50,976 pts (+37%)
    Reread the edition of October 31, 2008 →
  2. ○First time in the archiveMay 2000
    Ibovespa 14,957 → 13,287 pts (-11% in 6m) · reread →

In 31 times the archive saw the market in a state like today’s since 2000, the Ibovespa was higher six months later 58% of the time — median +4.4% — not always upward. Explore the archive →

Gravitational neighbors — days that behave like this one, from any era
Editions in a similar state

Other editions the archive read in a market state close to today’s — same neighbourhood of the Perene Risk Index.

  1. January 31, 2019Perene 92 · risk-on
  2. November 30, 2014Perene 92 · defensive
  3. August 31, 2003Perene 93
  4. October 31, 2018Perene 93 · neutral
  5. July 31, 2016Perene 91 · neutral
  6. October 31, 2014Perene 93 · defensive
Today’s Read

Observed distribution, not a forecast.

  • Ibovespa: 55,096 pts
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For the Next Edition

The next reading arrives on the next business day — the regime is monthly, and the daily pulse carries the change until month-end.

Concepts: Brazil Regime · Intermarket BR · Historical Analogs · How to read: six steps · Methodology · Research & Laboratory ·Track record · See every extreme like this one in the Observatory →

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