Radar PereneRadar Perene

Brazil market regime

Edition no. 3,410 · October 10, 2013 · reconstructed essentials

After several flat days, the day registered movement. The Perene Index stopped at 91.

The Pulse
Perene Risk Indexthe market’s structural state91/100Today ▲ +36
how to read?
The other times split evenly.
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The Archive Remembers ◎

Other times the archive saw the market in a state like today’s — what came next.

  1. ●Five years agoOctober 31, 2008
    Ibovespa that day37,257 pts
    what happened in 6 months50,976 pts (+37%)
    Reread the edition of October 31, 2008 →
  2. ○First time in the archiveMay 2000
    Ibovespa 14,957 → 13,287 pts (-11% in 6m) · reread →

In 32 times the archive saw the market in a state like today’s since 2000, the Ibovespa was higher six months later 50% of the time — median -0.1% — not always upward. Explore the archive →

Editions in a similar state

Other editions the archive read in a market state close to today’s — same neighbourhood of the Perene Risk Index.

  1. April 30, 2025Perene 91 · defensive
  2. July 31, 2016Perene 91 · neutral
  3. January 31, 2019Perene 92 · risk-on
  4. November 30, 2014Perene 92 · defensive
  5. December 31, 2014Perene 90 · neutral
  6. December 31, 2023Perene 90 · neutral
Today’s Read

Observed distribution, not a forecast.

  • Ibovespa: 52,997 pts
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For the Next Edition

The next reading arrives on the next business day — the regime is monthly, and the daily pulse carries the change until month-end.

Concepts: Brazil Regime · Intermarket BR · Historical Analogs · How to read: six steps · Methodology · Track record · From the archive: essays & precedents · See every extreme like this one in the Atlas →

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