Brazil market regime

Edition no. 3,457 · December 18, 2013 · reconstructed essentials · 2 min read

◦ Written under index methodology v1 (in effect until 15 Jul 2026). The current series is v2 — readings quoted here may differ from those shown today. See the methodology.

The Perene Index recovered ground and closed at 12. The reading stays in capitulation territory.

The Pulse

Perene Risk Indexthe market’s structural state12/100Today ▲ +2

how to read?

The Archive Remembers ◎

Other times the archive saw the market in a state like today’s — what came next.

●A year agoNovember 30, 2012
Ibovespa that day57,475 pts
the archive suggested+8% in 6m hist. median
what happened in 6 months51,317 pts (-11%)
Reread the edition of November 30, 2012 →
○Five years agoSeptember 2009
Ibovespa 61,518 → 71,417 pts (+16% in 6m) · reread →
○First time in the archiveSeptember 2000
Ibovespa 15,559 → 14,719 pts (-5% in 6m) · reread →

In 35 times the archive saw the market in a state like today’s since 2000, the Ibovespa was higher six months later 54% of the time — median +1.1% — not always upward. Explore the archive →

Gravitational neighbors — days that behave like this one, from any era

Editions in a similar state

Other editions the archive read in a market state close to today’s — same neighbourhood of the Perene Risk Index.

Today’s Read

Observed distribution, not a forecast.

Ibovespa: 50,563 pts

For the Next Edition

The next reading arrives on the next business day — the regime is monthly, and the daily pulse carries the change until month-end.

Concepts: Brazil Regime · Intermarket BR · Historical Analogs · How to read: six steps · Methodology · Research & Laboratory ·Track record · Browse the archive by phenomenon in the Observatory →

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