Radar PereneRadar Perene

Brazil market regime

Edition no. 4,729 · February 14, 2019 · reconstructed essentials · 2 min read

◦ Written under index methodology v1 (in effect until 15 Jul 2026). The current series is v2 — readings quoted here may differ from those shown today. See the methodology.

The Perene Index recovered ground and closed at 84. The configuration remains in constructive territory.

The Pulse
Perene Risk Indexthe market’s structural state84/100Today ▾ -12
Ânima · structuralthe market’s prevailing risk appetite70/100Today ▾ -9
how to read?
Risk above the territory's midline.
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The Archive Remembers ◎

Other times the archive saw the market in a state like today’s — what came next.

  1. ●A year agoJune 30, 2018
    Ibovespa that day72,840 pts
    what happened in 6 months92,032 pts (+26%)
    Reread the edition of June 30, 2018 →
  2. ○Five years agoDecember 2013
    Ibovespa 50,341 → 53,635 pts (+7% in 6m) · reread →
  3. ○First time in the archiveMay 2000
    Ibovespa 14,957 → 13,287 pts (-11% in 6m) · reread →

In 42 times the archive saw the market in a state like today’s since 2000, the Ibovespa was higher six months later 62% of the time — median +5.8% — not always upward. Explore the archive →

Gravitational neighbors — days that behave like this one, from any era
Editions in a similar state

Other editions the archive read in a market state close to today’s — same neighbourhood of the Perene Risk Index.

  1. October 31, 2013Perene 84 · risk-on
  2. November 30, 2003Perene 84
  3. May 31, 2023Perene 84 · defensive
  4. May 31, 2000Perene 85
  5. January 31, 2017Perene 83 · neutral
  6. July 31, 2023Perene 85 · neutral
Today’s Read

Observed distribution, not a forecast.

  • Ibovespa: 98,015 pts
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For the Next Edition

The next reading arrives on the next business day — the regime is monthly, and the daily pulse carries the change until month-end.

Concepts: Brazil Regime · Intermarket BR · Historical Analogs · How to read: six steps · Methodology · Research & Laboratory ·Track record · Browse the archive by phenomenon in the Observatory →

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