Radar PereneRadar Perene

Brazil market regime

Edition no. 4,913 · November 7, 2019 · reconstructed essentials · 2 min read

◦ Written under index methodology v1 (in effect until 15 Jul 2026). The current series is v2 — readings quoted here may differ from those shown today. See the methodology.

The Perene Index closed at 99.

The Pulse
Perene Risk Indexthe market’s structural state99/100Today ▲ +88
Ânima · structuralthe market’s prevailing risk appetite56/100Today ▲ +2
how to read?
History favored gains — without unanimity.
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The Archive Remembers ◎

Other times the archive saw the market in a state like today’s — what came next.

  1. ●A year agoNovember 30, 2018
    Ibovespa that day89,504 pts
    the archive suggested+5% in 6m hist. median
    what happened in 6 months97,821 pts (+9%)
    Reread the edition of November 30, 2018 →
  2. ○Five years agoNovember 2014
    Ibovespa 52,276 → 52,816 pts (+1% in 6m) · reread →
  3. ○First time in the archiveDecember 2000
    Ibovespa 15,425 → 14,048 pts (-9% in 6m) · reread →

In 43 times the archive saw the market in a state like today’s since 2000, the Ibovespa was higher six months later 67% of the time — median +5.3% — not always upward. Explore the archive →

Gravitational neighbors — days that behave like this one, from any era
Editions in a similar state

Other editions the archive read in a market state close to today’s — same neighbourhood of the Perene Risk Index.

  1. May 31, 2009Perene 99
  2. May 31, 2011Perene 99 · risk-on
  3. January 31, 2001Perene 98
  4. December 31, 2000Perene 100
  5. June 30, 2020Perene 100 · risk-on
  6. March 31, 2022Perene 100 · defensive
Today’s Read

Observed distribution, not a forecast.

  • Ibovespa: 109,581 pts
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For the Next Edition

The next reading arrives on the next business day — the regime is monthly, and the daily pulse carries the change until month-end.

Concepts: Brazil Regime · Intermarket BR · Historical Analogs · How to read: six steps · Methodology · Research & Laboratory ·Track record · See every extreme like this one in the Observatory →

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