Radar PereneRadar Perene

Brazil market regime

Edition no. 5,662 · November 18, 2022 · reconstructed essentials · 2 min read

◦ Written under index methodology v1 (in effect until 15 Jul 2026). The current series is v2 — readings quoted here may differ from those shown today. See the methodology.

The risk picture shifted over the session. The Perene Index eased to 4.

The Pulse
Perene Risk Indexthe market’s structural state4/100Today ▲ +4
Ânima · structuralthe market’s prevailing risk appetite25/100Today ▾ -2
how to read?
The other times split evenly.
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The Archive Remembers ◎

Other times the archive saw the market in a state like today’s — what came next.

  1. ●A year agoNovember 30, 2021
    Ibovespa that day101,915 pts
    the archive suggested+24% in 6m hist. median
    what happened in 6 months112,393 pts (+10%)
    Reread the edition of November 30, 2021 →
  2. ○Five years agoNovember 2017
    Ibovespa 71,971 → 76,117 pts (+6% in 6m) · reread →
  3. ○First time in the archiveSeptember 2000
    Ibovespa 15,559 → 14,719 pts (-5% in 6m) · reread →

In 53 times the archive saw the market in a state like today’s since 2000, the Ibovespa was higher six months later 51% of the time — median +0.5% — not always upward. Explore the archive →

Gravitational neighbors — days that behave like this one, from any era
Editions in a similar state

Other editions the archive read in a market state close to today’s — same neighbourhood of the Perene Risk Index.

  1. March 31, 2005Perene 5
  2. February 28, 2007Perene 3
  3. January 31, 2011Perene 3 · risk-on
  4. February 28, 2018Perene 5 · risk-on
  5. October 31, 2016Perene 2 · neutral
  6. September 30, 2020Perene 6 · risk-on
Today’s Read

Observed distribution, not a forecast.

  • Ibovespa: 108,880 pts
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For the Next Edition

The next reading arrives on the next business day — the regime is monthly, and the daily pulse carries the change until month-end.

Concepts: Brazil Regime · Intermarket BR · Historical Analogs · How to read: six steps · Methodology · Research & Laboratory ·Track record · See every extreme like this one in the Observatory →

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