Radar PereneRadar Perene

Brazil market regime

Edition no. 6,460 · January 29, 2026 · reconstructed essentials · 2 min read

◦ Written under index methodology v1 (in effect until 15 Jul 2026). The current series is v2 — readings quoted here may differ from those shown today. See the methodology.

The continuity of recent days gave way to movement. Today, the Perene Index closed at 73.

The Pulse
Perene Risk Indexthe market’s structural state73/100Today ▾ -12
Ânima · structuralthe market’s prevailing risk appetite66/100Today ▾ -18
how to read?
Risk above the territory's midline.
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The Archive Remembers ◎

Other times the archive saw the market in a state like today’s — what came next.

  1. ●A year agoJanuary 31, 2025
    Ibovespa that day126,135 pts
    the archive suggested+5% in 6m hist. median
    what happened in 6 months133,151 pts (+6%)
    Reread the edition of January 31, 2025 →
  2. ○Five years agoJuly 2020
    Ibovespa 102,912 → 119,925 pts (+17% in 6m) · reread →
  3. ○First time in the archiveJune 2000
    Ibovespa 16,728 → 16,599 pts (-1% in 6m) · reread →

In 62 times the archive saw the market in a state like today’s since 2000, the Ibovespa was higher six months later 71% of the time — median +7.1% — not always upward. Explore the archive →

Gravitational neighbors — days that behave like this one, from any era
Editions in a similar state

Other editions the archive read in a market state close to today’s — same neighbourhood of the Perene Risk Index.

  1. October 31, 2001Perene 73
  2. June 30, 2011Perene 73 · risk-on
  3. March 31, 2025Perene 74 · defensive
  4. March 31, 2012Perene 74 · risk-on
  5. June 30, 2009Perene 74
  6. December 31, 2013Perene 74 · risk-on
Today’s Read

Observed distribution, not a forecast.

  • Ibovespa: 183,134 pts
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For the Next Edition

The next reading arrives on the next business day — the regime is monthly, and the daily pulse carries the change until month-end.

Concepts: Brazil Regime · Intermarket BR · Historical Analogs · How to read: six steps · Methodology · Research & Laboratory ·Track record · Browse the archive by phenomenon in the Observatory →

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