Brazil market regime

Edition no. 6,495 · March 23, 2026 · reconstructed essentials · 2 min read

◦ Written under index methodology v1 (in effect until 15 Jul 2026). The current series is v2 — readings quoted here may differ from those shown today. See the methodology.

Another day of pressure. The session ended with the Perene at 22.

The Pulse

Perene Risk Indexthe market’s structural state22/100Today ▲ +22

Ânima · structuralthe market’s prevailing risk appetite23/100Today ▲ +1

how to read?

The Archive Remembers ◎

Other times the archive saw the market in a state like today’s — what came next.

●A year agoFebruary 28, 2025
Ibovespa that day122,799 pts
the archive suggested+6% in 6m hist. median
what happened in 6 months140,335 pts (+14%)
Reread the edition of February 28, 2025 →
○Five years agoFebruary 2021
Ibovespa 110,335 → 119,740 pts (+9% in 6m) · reread →
○First time in the archiveSeptember 2001
Ibovespa 10,501 → 13,416 pts (+28% in 6m) · reread →

In 65 times the archive saw the market in a state like today’s since 2000, the Ibovespa was higher six months later 58% of the time — median +3.5% — not always upward. Explore the archive →

Gravitational neighbors — days that behave like this one, from any era

Editions in a similar state

Other editions the archive read in a market state close to today’s — same neighbourhood of the Perene Risk Index.

Today’s Read

Observed distribution, not a forecast.

Ibovespa: 181,932 pts

For the Next Edition

The next reading arrives on the next business day — the regime is monthly, and the daily pulse carries the change until month-end.

Concepts: Brazil Regime · Intermarket BR · Historical Analogs · How to read: six steps · Methodology · Research & Laboratory ·Track record · Browse the archive by phenomenon in the Observatory →

← previous edition · 2026-03-20all editions · Observatory2026-03-27 · next edition →