Radar PereneRadar Perene

Brazil market regime

Edition no. 6,500 · March 30, 2026 · reconstructed essentials

◦ Written under index methodology v1 (in effect until 15 Jul 2026). The current series is v2 — readings quoted here may differ from those shown today. See the methodology.

There was little to record at the close.

The Pulse
Perene Risk Indexthe market’s structural state18/100Today ▲ +3
Ânima · structuralthe market’s prevailing risk appetite13/100Today ▾ -1
how to read?
Risk below the territory's midline.
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The Archive Remembers ◎

Other times the archive saw the market in a state like today’s — what came next.

  1. ●A year agoDecember 31, 2024
    Ibovespa that day120,125 pts
    the archive suggested+5% in 6m hist. median
    what happened in 6 months139,490 pts (+16%)
    Reread the edition of December 31, 2024 →
  2. ○Five years agoFebruary 2021
    Ibovespa 110,335 → 119,740 pts (+9% in 6m) · reread →
  3. ○First time in the archiveSeptember 2000
    Ibovespa 15,559 → 14,719 pts (-5% in 6m) · reread →

In 71 times the archive saw the market in a state like today’s since 2000, the Ibovespa was higher six months later 59% of the time — median +4% — not always upward. Explore the archive →

Editions in a similar state

Other editions the archive read in a market state close to today’s — same neighbourhood of the Perene Risk Index.

  1. April 30, 2005Perene 18
  2. July 31, 2025Perene 18 · defensive
  3. May 31, 2012Perene 19 · risk-on
  4. October 31, 2003Perene 19
  5. September 30, 2023Perene 20 · defensive
  6. October 31, 2024Perene 16 · defensive
Today’s Read

Observed distribution, not a forecast.

  • Ibovespa: 182,514 pts
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For the Next Edition

The next reading arrives on the next business day — the regime is monthly, and the daily pulse carries the change until month-end.

Concepts: Brazil Regime · Intermarket BR · Historical Analogs · How to read: six steps · Methodology · Track record · From the archive: essays & precedents · Browse the archive by phenomenon in the Atlas →

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