Brazil market regime
Edition no. 524 · April 29, 2026 · reconstructed essentials
The continuity of recent days gave way to movement. The Perene Index marked 1 at the close.
Other times the archive saw the market in a state like today’s — what came next.
- ●Five years agoJuly 31, 2021Ibovespa that day122,516 ptsthe archive suggested+15% in 6m hist. medianwhat happened in 6 months112,161 pts (-8%)Reread the edition of July 31, 2021 →
- ○First time in the archiveSeptember 2000Ibovespa 15,559 → 14,719 pts (-5% in 6m) · reread →
In 62 times the archive saw the market in a state like today’s since 2000, the Ibovespa was higher six months later 63% of the time — median +4.5% — not always upward. Explore the archive →
Other editions the archive read in a market state close to today’s — same neighbourhood of the Perene Risk Index.
Observed distribution, not a forecast.
- Ibovespa: 184,750 pts
The next reading arrives on the next business day — the regime is monthly, and the daily pulse carries the change until month-end.
Concepts: Brazil Regime · Intermarket BR · Historical Analogs · How to read: six steps · Methodology · Track record · From the archive: essays & precedents · See every extreme like this one in the Atlas →
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