Radar PereneRadar Perene

Brazil market regime

Edition no. 6,527 · May 11, 2026 · reconstructed essentials

◦ Written under index methodology v1 (in effect until 15 Jul 2026). The current series is v2 — readings quoted here may differ from those shown today. See the methodology.

The session repeated the previous one, point for point.

The Pulse
Perene Risk Indexthe market’s structural state16/100Today ▲ +14
Ânima · structuralthe market’s prevailing risk appetite59/100Today ▲ +4
how to read?
The other times split evenly.
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The Archive Remembers ◎

Other times the archive saw the market in a state like today’s — what came next.

  1. ●A year agoJuly 31, 2025
    Ibovespa that day133,071 pts
    the archive suggested+4% in 6m hist. median
    what happened in 6 months181,364 pts (+36%)
    Reread the edition of July 31, 2025 →
  2. ○Five years agoAugust 2021
    Ibovespa 118,781 → 111,593 pts (-6% in 6m) · reread →
  3. ○First time in the archiveSeptember 2000
    Ibovespa 15,559 → 14,719 pts (-5% in 6m) · reread →

In 68 times the archive saw the market in a state like today’s since 2000, the Ibovespa was higher six months later 59% of the time — median +4% — not always upward. Explore the archive →

Editions in a similar state

Other editions the archive read in a market state close to today’s — same neighbourhood of the Perene Risk Index.

  1. October 31, 2024Perene 16 · defensive
  2. January 31, 2015Perene 16 · neutral
  3. July 31, 2007Perene 15
  4. January 31, 2010Perene 15
  5. December 31, 2024Perene 15 · defensive
  6. July 31, 2011Perene 15 · risk-on
Today’s Read

Observed distribution, not a forecast.

  • Ibovespa: 181,909 pts
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For the Next Edition

The next reading arrives on the next business day — the regime is monthly, and the daily pulse carries the change until month-end.

Concepts: Brazil Regime · Intermarket BR · Historical Analogs · How to read: six steps · Methodology · Track record · From the archive: essays & precedents · Browse the archive by phenomenon in the Atlas →

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