Brazil market regime — 2026-06-17

Name: Radar Perene — 2026-06-17 · Brazil market regime
Creator: Radar Perene
Published: 2026-06-17

Radar Perene daily snapshot

Today’s pulse — Perene Risk 64.1/100 (neutro) · Ânima 26.9/100 (pessimismo extremo)

Ibovespa — 169649 pts, +23.7% in 12 months

What stands out today

Equity risk premium — equity risk premium -1.47pp — earnings yield below real rate
Valuation breadth — 59.3% of 54 stable stocks below fair value
Cyclicals / defensives — percentile 6 — below its historical norm

Analogous cases — what came next

Observed distribution, not a forecast · e.g. 2023-03, 2024-07, 2022-07 · how the analogs are built →

Month context — BR regime (monthly)

Brazil market regime — monthly reading: defensive (28.7/100, 50 = neutral · ref. 2026-05)

Monthly by construction — the score only moves at month-end; the daily variation lives in the indices above.