Brazil market regime

Edition no. 6,106 · August 28, 2024 · reconstructed essentials · 2 min read

◦ Written under index methodology v1 (in effect until 15 Jul 2026). The current series is v2 — readings quoted here may differ from those shown today. See the methodology.

The risk picture shifted over the session. Today, the Perene Index closed at 82.

The Pulse

Perene Risk Indexthe market’s structural state83/100Today ▾ -1

Ânima · structuralthe market’s prevailing risk appetite48/100Today ▾ -3

how to read?

The Archive Remembers ◎

Other times the archive saw the market in a state like today’s — what came next.

●A year agoJuly 31, 2023
Ibovespa that day121,943 pts
the archive suggested+4% in 6m hist. median
what happened in 6 months128,481 pts (+5%)
Reread the edition of July 31, 2023 →
○Five years agoJune 2019
Ibovespa 101,340 → 118,573 pts (+17% in 6m) · reread →
○First time in the archiveMay 2000
Ibovespa 14,957 → 13,287 pts (-11% in 6m) · reread →

In 54 times the archive saw the market in a state like today’s since 2000, the Ibovespa was higher six months later 61% of the time — median +8.5% — not always upward. Explore the archive →

Gravitational neighbors — days that behave like this one, from any era

Editions in a similar state

Other editions the archive read in a market state close to today’s — same neighbourhood of the Perene Risk Index.

Today’s Read

Observed distribution, not a forecast.

Ibovespa: 137,344 pts

For the Next Edition

The next reading arrives on the next business day — the regime is monthly, and the daily pulse carries the change until month-end.

Concepts: Brazil Regime · Intermarket BR · Historical Analogs · How to read: six steps · Methodology · Research & Laboratory ·Track record · Browse the archive by phenomenon in the Observatory →

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