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Brazil market regime

Edition no. 6,168 · November 26, 2024 · reconstructed essentials · 2 min read

◦ Written under index methodology v1 (in effect until 15 Jul 2026). The current series is v2 — readings quoted here may differ from those shown today. See the methodology.

After several flat days, the day registered movement. The day's reading came in at 82.

The Pulse
Perene Risk Indexthe market’s structural state82/100Today ▲ +65
Ânima · structuralthe market’s prevailing risk appetite26/100Today → 0
how to read?
Risk above the territory's midline.
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The Archive Remembers ◎

Other times the archive saw the market in a state like today’s — what came next.

  1. ●A year agoDecember 31, 2023
    Ibovespa that day132,697 pts
    the archive suggested+10% in 6m hist. median
    what happened in 6 months125,662 pts (-5%)
    Reread the edition of December 31, 2023 →
  2. ○Five years agoDecember 2019
    Ibovespa 118,573 → 98,937 pts (-17% in 6m) · reread →
  3. ○First time in the archiveMay 2000
    Ibovespa 14,957 → 13,287 pts (-11% in 6m) · reread →

In 53 times the archive saw the market in a state like today’s since 2000, the Ibovespa was higher six months later 64% of the time — median +8.7% — not always upward. Explore the archive →

Gravitational neighbors — days that behave like this one, from any era
Editions in a similar state

Other editions the archive read in a market state close to today’s — same neighbourhood of the Perene Risk Index.

  1. September 30, 2022Perene 82 · defensive
  2. January 31, 2006Perene 82
  3. April 30, 2023Perene 82 · defensive
  4. October 31, 2015Perene 83 · defensive
  5. January 31, 2017Perene 83 · neutral
  6. May 31, 2023Perene 84 · defensive
Today’s Read

Observed distribution, not a forecast.

  • Ibovespa: 129,922 pts
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For the Next Edition

The next reading arrives on the next business day — the regime is monthly, and the daily pulse carries the change until month-end.

Concepts: Brazil Regime · Intermarket BR · Historical Analogs · How to read: six steps · Methodology · Research & Laboratory ·Track record · Browse the archive by phenomenon in the Observatory →

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