Radar PereneRadar Perene

Brazil market regime

Edition no. 2,785 · April 4, 2011 · reconstructed essentials

◦ Written under index methodology v1 (in effect until 15 Jul 2026). The current series is v2 — readings quoted here may differ from those shown today. See the methodology.

The Perene Index closed at 91.

The Pulse
Perene Risk Indexthe market’s structural state91/100Today ▾ -8
how to read?
The other times split evenly.
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The Archive Remembers ◎

Other times the archive saw the market in a state like today’s — what came next.

  1. ●A year agoJuly 31, 2010
    Ibovespa that day68,517 pts
    what happened in 6 months66,765 pts (-3%)
    Reread the edition of July 31, 2010 →
  2. ○Five years agoJanuary 2006
    Ibovespa 38,383 → 37,451 pts (-2% in 6m) · reread →
  3. ○First time in the archiveMay 2000
    Ibovespa 14,957 → 13,287 pts (-11% in 6m) · reread →

In 26 times the archive saw the market in a state like today’s since 2000, the Ibovespa was higher six months later 58% of the time — median +3.3% — not always upward. Explore the archive →

Editions in a similar state

Other editions the archive read in a market state close to today’s — same neighbourhood of the Perene Risk Index.

  1. April 30, 2025Perene 91 · defensive
  2. July 31, 2016Perene 91 · neutral
  3. January 31, 2019Perene 92 · risk-on
  4. November 30, 2014Perene 92 · defensive
  5. December 31, 2014Perene 90 · neutral
  6. December 31, 2023Perene 90 · neutral
Today’s Read

Observed distribution, not a forecast.

  • Ibovespa: 69,704 pts
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For the Next Edition

The next reading arrives on the next business day — the regime is monthly, and the daily pulse carries the change until month-end.

Concepts: Brazil Regime · Intermarket BR · Historical Analogs · How to read: six steps · Methodology · Track record · From the archive: essays & precedents · See every extreme like this one in the Atlas →

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