Brazil market regime

Edition no. 4,289 · May 4, 2017 · reconstructed essentials · 2 min read

◦ Written under index methodology v1 (in effect until 15 Jul 2026). The current series is v2 — readings quoted here may differ from those shown today. See the methodology.

The risk reading moved to a different level. The day closes with the Perene Index at 23.

The Pulse

Perene Risk Indexthe market’s structural state23/100Today ▾ -27

Ânima · structuralthe market’s prevailing risk appetite17/100Today ▾ -6

how to read?

The Archive Remembers ◎

Other times the archive saw the market in a state like today’s — what came next.

●Five years agoMay 31, 2012
Ibovespa that day54,490 pts
the archive suggested-1% in 6m hist. median
what happened in 6 months57,563 pts (+6%)
Reread the edition of May 31, 2012 →
○First time in the archiveMarch 2001
Ibovespa 13,981 → 10,233 pts (-27% in 6m) · reread →

In 43 times the archive saw the market in a state like today’s since 2000, the Ibovespa was higher six months later 53% of the time — median +2.7% — not always upward. Explore the archive →

Gravitational neighbors — days that behave like this one, from any era

Editions in a similar state

Other editions the archive read in a market state close to today’s — same neighbourhood of the Perene Risk Index.

Today’s Read

Observed distribution, not a forecast.

Ibovespa: 64,863 pts

For the Next Edition

The next reading arrives on the next business day — the regime is monthly, and the daily pulse carries the change until month-end.

Concepts: Brazil Regime · Intermarket BR · Historical Analogs · How to read: six steps · Methodology · Research & Laboratory ·Track record · Browse the archive by phenomenon in the Observatory →

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