Radar PereneRadar Perene

Brazil market regime

Edition no. 5,021 · April 20, 2020 · reconstructed essentials · 2 min read

◦ Written under index methodology v1 (in effect until 15 Jul 2026). The current series is v2 — readings quoted here may differ from those shown today. See the methodology.

A day of continuity: the market's state changed little.

The Pulse
Perene Risk Indexthe market’s structural state21/100Today ▲ +4
Ânima · structuralthe market’s prevailing risk appetite11/100Today ▾ -7
how to read?
Risk below the territory's midline.
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The Archive Remembers ◎

Other times the archive saw the market in a state like today’s — what came next.

  1. ●A year agoMarch 31, 2019
    Ibovespa that day96,054 pts
    the archive suggested+14% in 6m hist. median
    what happened in 6 months104,745 pts (+9%)
    Reread the edition of March 31, 2019 →
  2. ○Five years agoJanuary 2015
    Ibovespa 47,651 → 50,011 pts (+5% in 6m) · reread →
  3. ○First time in the archiveSeptember 2001
    Ibovespa 10,501 → 13,416 pts (+28% in 6m) · reread →

In 49 times the archive saw the market in a state like today’s since 2000, the Ibovespa was higher six months later 61% of the time — median +8% — not always upward. Explore the archive →

Gravitational neighbors — days that behave like this one, from any era
Editions in a similar state

Other editions the archive read in a market state close to today’s — same neighbourhood of the Perene Risk Index.

  1. September 30, 2019Perene 21 · risk-on
  2. November 30, 2012Perene 21 · risk-on
  3. August 31, 2021Perene 22 · risk-on
  4. September 30, 2023Perene 20 · defensive
  5. November 30, 2024Perene 23 · defensive
  6. October 31, 2003Perene 19
Today’s Read

Observed distribution, not a forecast.

  • Ibovespa: 78,973 pts
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For the Next Edition

The next reading arrives on the next business day — the regime is monthly, and the daily pulse carries the change until month-end.

Concepts: Brazil Regime · Intermarket BR · Historical Analogs · How to read: six steps · Methodology · Research & Laboratory ·Track record · Browse the archive by phenomenon in the Observatory →

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