Brazil market regime — 2026-06-11
Radar Perene daily snapshot
Today’s pulse — Perene Risk 52.4/100 · Ânima 1.9/100 · proprietary daily indices (change every business day)
Verification — outcome vs. the reading- 3M: awaiting 2026-09-10
- 6M: awaiting 2026-12-10
- Ânima Index 1.9/100 — Ânima Index (proprietary market mood) reads extreme pessimism
- Perene Risk Index 52.4/100 — Perene Risk Index (proprietary risk-on/off) reads neutral at 52.4/100
- Equity risk premium -1.47 pp — equity risk premium -1.47pp — earnings yield below real rate
- Valuation breadth 66/100 — 66% of 50 stable stocks below fair value
- Cyclicals / defensives percentil 1 — percentile 1 — well below its historical norm
- Ibovespa 168.619 pts — 168619 pts, +23.8% in 12 months
- Historical analog (IBOV +6m) +9.3% — resembles 2023-02, 2023-03, 2023-10; median +9.3% with 80% up over 6m
Month context — BR regime (monthly)Monthly by construction — the score only moves at month-end; the daily variation lives in the indices above.
Concepts: Brazil Regime · Intermarket BR · Historical Analogs · How to read: six steps · Methodology
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