Radar Perene daily snapshot · reconstructed essentials
Today’s pulse — Perene Risk 47.8/100 (neutro) · Ânima 29.2/100 (pessimismo extremo)
Brazil's market is in a defensive regime. The global backdrop is moderate risk-off and the intermarket strong risk-off.
Historically similar cases produced a median Ibovespa return of +6.1% over six months, with 70% positive episodes (n=10).
Observed distribution, not a forecast.
Observed distribution, not a forecast · e.g. 2023-03, 2025-01, 2024-07 · how the analogs are built →
Concepts: Brazil Regime · Intermarket BR · Historical Analogs · How to read: six steps · Methodology · Track record